AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AM 2022
AT&T Pebble Beach 2022 Overview
Dates: February 3, 2022 to February 6, 2022
Location: Pebble Beach, California. USA
Course: Pebble Beach Golf Links
Course Par: 72
Course Length: 21,225 ft
Prize Purse: $8700000
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is a professional golf tournament on the PGA Tour, held annually at Pebble Beach, California, near Carmel. The tournament is usually held during the month of February on three different courses, currently Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Course, and Monterey Peninsula Country Club.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2022 Results
Jordan Spieth knew Tom Hoge would not let up when hunting him down on the back nine at Pebble Beach on Sunday. Not because he was chasing a maiden PGA Tour title, but rather it was with the same relentless intent that Hoge taught Spieth to play craps a few years ago.
Over at Form Golfer we are also enjoying a clinical streak with Hoge’s victory at the AT&T making it three wins in the first five events of 2022, this time backed at 60-1.
As predicted, it was a leader board full of course specialists and most of those in contention come Sunday’s final round have shown previous form in this event. Hoge fell into that bracket, finishing 12th last year, and we felt his recent results deserved more respect than his pre-event price.
Not that we are complaining, it is this kind of value our statisticians thrive on and the 32-year-old’s first triumph on his 203rd attempt contributed significantly to a very healthy 130% return on investment and a 95-point profit for the tournament.
Hoge, a co-leader after round three, double bogeyed the par-three fifth but roared into the lead down the back nine with four birdies to reach 19 under par for the tournament and card a two-stroke victory over Spieth, who looked to be staging a miraculous recovery of his own.
The American had holed nothing over the first two days before an impressive fightback, including a sublime par-save during which he played an approach shot while staring down the throat of a 70-foot cliff.
But two bogeys in a round of 69 left the three-time major winner short of Hoge, who emerged from a field that at one point saw a seven-way tie for top spot.
“It’s awesome,” said Hoge, who is such a fan of Pebble Beach he spent his family holiday there last year. “You work through so many hard times to be here and to finally pull one off feels incredible.”
Hindsight is a wonderful thing and we do feel Troy Merritt was the one that got away this week, with the world number 103 finishing four shots back in a tie for fourth.
But, besides the obvious highlight being Hoge, we were also close to the mark with most of our selections and especially those with huge odds such as Nate Lashley, Jimmy Walker and JJ Spaun, who all threatened to make the top 20 at some stage.
In fact, if 150-1 shot Spaun had maintained his form from the rest of the weekend and played his final 11 holes under par then he too would have placed.
Jason Day’s performance was a little disappointing, however, fizzling out on the weekend after working his way into contention despite boating a putter as chilly as a winter dip in Monterey Bay.
Perhaps the Australian was feeling the effects of last week’s battle, and the former world number one remains of interest as he works his way back from injury.
Overall, another hugely satisfying week and one that takes our total outright selections to the 300-point profit mark and leaves us handsomely placed on a 213% ROI.
AT&T Pebble Beach 2022 Preview
After last week’s fantastic result for followers of Form Golfer, it’s tempting to sit tight on our profit and tread very lightly at the AT&T. I’m not a big fan of pro-ams, nor of multi-course events for punting purposes, as a good degree of luck is involved in catching the right course on the right day weather-wise, and plenty of the field are likely to be frustrated with rounds taking up to six hours to complete. I know I rarely play my best golf at that sort of pace.
That said, there are a few angles to approach this from. Proven course form is fairly reliable and for that reason we’ll largely focus on those with some solid previous results at this tournament. The courses in use are shorter than average, with Pebble Beach in particular renowned for having the smallest green complexes on tour. With it being an unusual challenge, it’s perhaps not surprising that we’ve seen some consistency in the names towards the top of the board over the years.
Outrights
| Player | Points | Type | UK Odds | Places | Outright US Odds |
| Jason Day | 4 | EW | 22/1 | 8 | |
| Kevin Streelman | 2 | EW | 45/1 | 8 | |
| Tom Hoge | 1.5 | EW | 60/1 | 8 | |
| JJ Spaun | 1 | EW | 150/1 | 8 | |
| Jimmy Walker | 0.5 | EW | 300/1 | 8 | |
| Nate Lashley | 0.5 | EW | 250/1 | 8 |
Often in our search for value we’ll try to avoid the obvious. However sometimes the answer just leaps off the page at you and we’ll be wading in with a chunky recommendation on Jason Day (4pts ew, 22/1, 8 places). His course form stacks up against anyone else in the field. Even during the years where he was battling injury he would regularly put in a good showing in this event. Add to that a strong performance at the Farmers last week and the fact that for the first time in ages he’s talking about being physically comfortable and he makes a huge amount of appeal. It’s interesting to note that various previews have talked about the markets having over-reacted to last week, saying you’d be looking for a bigger price about the world number 83, but I disagree. Yes he needs to prove he can back up one good week with another, but an injury-free Day can still break back into the top 20 in the world and in a fairly weak field his inclusion is a no-brainer for me.
Next we’ll include Kevin Streelman (2pts ew, 45/1, 8 places). Also largely based on tournament form, he has just the profile we’re looking for and a respectable top 40 last week should tee him up nicely for a good showing on a setup that should suit him much better.
Tom Hoge (1.5pts ew, 60/1, 8 places) is fast becoming a favourite of Form Golfer and warrants inclusion again. Another with some course form (12th last year) and comes into this with recent results that warrant more respect than he is getting.
We’ll play a few long shots in the hope that we can maybe sneak one of them into the places, all of whom have something in their history that gives hope that they can contend again. JJ Spaun (1pt ew, 150/1, 8 places) has been ticking along nicely and I just feel that perhaps over the next few weeks he’ll post a result. Even less obvious are Jimmy Walker (0.5pts ew, 300/1, 8 places), and Nate Lashley (0.5pts ew, 250/1, 8 places), but there have been signs of life from Walker more recently and a top 10 in this event back in 2018, while Lashley was T5 last year in this and has some good SG numbers at Pebble over the years.
Cantlay and Berger are the right favourites, but both would make more appeal at bigger odds in a ‘normal’ tournament with a stronger field. McNealy, Hughes, Griffin and Power were others who are playing very nicely and came close to making the staking plan, and I would put you off any of them.
Match Ups
| Bet | Points | UK Odds | Outright US Odds |
| Rose to beat Spieth | 10 | Evens | |
| McCarthy to beat Harman | 10 | 21/20 | |
| Hughes to beat Kisner | 8 | 10/11 | |
| Rai to beat Bezuidenhout | 7 | 21/20 | |
| Day to beat Spieth | 6 | 11/8 |
A small profit on match ups last week courtesy of our two biggest stakes being successful; making up for disappointing performances from Wolff and Gooch.
Our match up recommendations are:
Other Recommendations
| Player | Bet Type | Points | UK Odds | Outright US Odds |
| Streelman | Top 20 | 4 | 9/4 | |
| Hoge | Top 20 | 3 | 10/3 | |
| Spaun | Top 20 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| Lashley | Top 20 | 1.5 | 11/1 | |
| Gligic | Top 20 | 1.5 | 18/1 | |
| Walker | Top 20 | 1.5 | 11/1 |
Jordan Spieth knew Tom Hoge would not let up when hunting him down on the back nine at Pebble Beach on Sunday. Not because he was chasing a maiden PGA Tour title, but rather it was with the same relentless intent that Hoge taught Spieth to play craps a few years ago.
Over at Form Golfer we are also enjoying a clinical streak with Hoge’s victory at the AT&T making it three wins in the first five events of 2022, this time backed at 60-1.
As predicted, it was a leader board full of course specialists and most of those in contention come Sunday’s final round have shown previous form in this event. Hoge fell into that bracket, finishing 12th last year, and we felt his recent results deserved more respect than his pre-event price.
Not that we are complaining, it is this kind of value our statisticians thrive on and the 32-year-old’s first triumph on his 203rd attempt contributed significantly to a very healthy 130% return on investment and a 95-point profit for the tournament.
Hoge, a co-leader after round three, double bogeyed the par-three fifth but roared into the lead down the back nine with four birdies to reach 19 under par for the tournament and card a two-stroke victory over Spieth, who looked to be staging a miraculous recovery of his own.
The American had holed nothing over the first two days before an impressive fightback, including a sublime par-save during which he played an approach shot while staring down the throat of a 70-foot cliff.
But two bogeys in a round of 69 left the three-time major winner short of Hoge, who emerged from a field that at one point saw a seven-way tie for top spot.
“It’s awesome,” said Hoge, who is such a fan of Pebble Beach he spent his family holiday there last year. “You work through so many hard times to be here and to finally pull one off feels incredible.”
Hindsight is a wonderful thing and we do feel Troy Merritt was the one that got away this week, with the world number 103 finishing four shots back in a tie for fourth.
But, besides the obvious highlight being Hoge, we were also close to the mark with most of our selections and especially those with huge odds such as Nate Lashley, Jimmy Walker and JJ Spaun, who all threatened to make the top 20 at some stage.
In fact, if 150-1 shot Spaun had maintained his form from the rest of the weekend and played his final 11 holes under par then he too would have placed.
Jason Day’s performance was a little disappointing, however, fizzling out on the weekend after working his way into contention despite boating a putter as chilly as a winter dip in Monterey Bay.
Perhaps the Australian was feeling the effects of last week’s battle, and the former world number one remains of interest as he works his way back from injury.
Overall, another hugely satisfying week and one that takes our total outright selections to the 300-point profit mark and leaves us handsomely placed on a 213% ROI.